← Grand Archive Regional Championship
Water Luxem AssassinTier 1
at Grand Archive Regional Championship
decks
1
(4.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.3%
avg ELO -0.4 per match
expected value
50.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1216
· median 1216
· range 1216–1216
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1106
Q1 1187
Q3 1280
1427
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 21.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.5% | -15.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 17.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Allies | 17.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.1% | +14.6 |
| Water Allies | 8.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.2% | +13.2 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 8.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 4.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 4.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.7% | -14.9 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
