← Yeti Gaming Thursday Weekly 10/17/2024
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at Yeti Gaming Thursday Weekly 10/17/2024.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Wind Crux Mage | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 100.0% | 50.0% | 61.2% | 50.0% | 1638 | ↑ top |
| 2 | Water Crux Mage | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 50.0% | 58.0% | 50.0% | 1527 | ↑ top |
| 3 | Wind Tera Kongming | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 62.5% | 50.0% | 57.0% | 50.0% | 1409 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Exia | 5 | 8.6% | 15 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 56.2% | 50.0% | 1363 | — |
| 5 | Wind Allies | 5 | 8.6% | 15 | 60.0% | 50.0% | 55.3% | 50.0% | 1312 | — |
| 6 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 87.5% | 50.0% | 54.4% | 50.0% | 1517 | ↑ top |
| 7 | Fire Crux Mage | 3 | 5.2% | 9 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 54.1% | 50.0% | 1501 | ↑ top |
| 8 | Fire Astra Cleric | 1 | 1.7% | 3 | 66.7% | 50.0% | 52.7% | 50.0% | 1270 | — |
| 9 | Fire Aggro | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 25.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | 50.0% | 1328 | — |
| 10 | Wind Shadowstrike | 1 | 1.7% | 5 | 60.0% | 50.0% | 51.2% | 50.0% | 1301 | — |
| 11 | Slimes | 11 | 19.0% | 33 | 56.1% | 50.0% | 50.6% | 50.0% | 1311 | — |
| 12 | Water Tera Kongming | 3 | 5.2% | 12 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | 50.0% | 1323 | — |
| 13 | Wind Crux Lorraine | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | 1439 | ↑ top |
| 14 | Water Allies | 3 | 5.2% | 13 | 69.2% | 50.0% | 49.9% | 50.0% | 1390 | ↑ top |
| 15 | Water Ravishing Mill | 2 | 3.4% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | 50.0% | 1330 | — |
| 16 | Wind Exia | 2 | 3.4% | 7 | 28.6% | 50.0% | 47.6% | 50.0% | 1228 | ↓ low |
| 17 | Water Umbra Diana | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | 50.0% | 1349 | — |
| 18 | Wind Slice & Dice | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.5% | 50.0% | 1206 | ↓ low |
| 19 | Wind Razorgale | 2 | 3.4% | 8 | 31.2% | 50.0% | 45.5% | 50.0% | 1186 | ↓ low |
| 20 | Fire Tera Silvie | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.0% | 50.0% | 1477 | ↑ top |
| 21 | Water Astra Arisanna | 1 | 1.7% | 3 | 33.3% | 50.0% | 42.5% | 50.0% | 1444 | ↑ top |
| 22 | Water Luxem Assassin | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 25.0% | 50.0% | 41.6% | 50.0% | 1166 | ↓ low |
| 23 | Wind Tera Mage | 2 | 3.4% | 4 | 25.0% | 50.0% | 41.4% | 50.0% | 1161 | ↓ low |
| 24 | Wind Exia Jin | 2 | 3.4% | 6 | 8.3% | 50.0% | 40.9% | 50.0% | 1266 | ↓ low |
| 25 | Fire Erupting | 1 | 1.7% | 2 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 1000 | ↓ low |
| 26 | Fire Neos Tonoris | 1 | 1.7% | 1 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | 1426 | ↑ top |
| 27 | Water Tera Mage | 4 | 6.9% | 11 | 27.3% | 50.0% | 39.2% | 50.0% | 1230 | ↓ low |
| 28 | Fire Tera Kongming | 1 | 1.7% | 4 | 25.0% | 50.0% | 37.6% | 50.0% | 1147 | ↓ low |
| 29 | Fire Silvie | 1 | 1.7% | 3 | 0.0% | 50.0% | 33.9% | 50.0% | 1258 | ↓ low |