← Mortal Ambition Canadian Regionals - Forest City Coins
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 3
at Mortal Ambition Canadian Regionals - Forest City Coins
decks
1
(1.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
1-2-3
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
51.2%
avg ELO +0.7 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1073
· median 1073
· range 1073–1073
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
937
Q1 1149
Q3 1353
1576
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 15.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 15.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.9 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.4 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
