← Mortal Ambition Canadian Regionals - Forest City Coins
SlimesTier 2
at Mortal Ambition Canadian Regionals - Forest City Coins
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 15.4% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.9% | -1.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.5% | 7 | 4-2-1 | 64.3% | 59.1% | 60.7% | +5.4 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.7% | 5 | 0-4-1 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 34.9% | -8.7 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 55.0% | +4.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 3.8% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.7% | -2.5 |
| Water Allies | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.2% | +3.1 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 3.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.7% | +3.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.9% | -9.8 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 1.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -3.4 |
| Fire Exia | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Diana | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 1.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
| Wind Tera Silvie | 1.9% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.2% | -2.7 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 3 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 3 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Slime King, Nullifying Mirror. Losers more often ran: Lustrous Slime, Twilight Slime, Beastbond Ears.
Show all 23 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lustrous Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -1.00 | 0 | 3 | 0 | |
| Entrancing Filigree | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | -0.67 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nascent Blast | +0.67 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.33 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.33 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.33 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | -0.33 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |