← ProjectCCG Store Championships - 02-16-2025
EV ranking
How well each archetype is positioned against the field at ProjectCCG Store Championships - 02-16-2025.
EV(D) = sum over opponents O of share(O) · winrate(D, O),
renormalized to exclude the mirror, with a Beta(2, 2) shrinkage so sparse
matchups pull toward 50%. Draws count as 0.5.
Adj WR / Adj EV use ELO-derived matchup winrates instead --
same math, skill-controlled.
Faded figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches)
— read them as rough estimates.
| # | Archetype | Decks | Share | Matches | Winrate | Adj WR | EV | Adj EV | Avg ELO | Skew |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Water Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 100.0% | 70.3% | 62.5% | 59.4% | 1408 | — |
| 2 | Wind Allies | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 80.0% | 62.6% | 57.8% | 56.4% | 1376 | — |
| 3 | Fire Slimes | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 60.0% | 41.6% | 53.8% | 46.6% | 1736 | ↑ top |
| 4 | Fire Luxem Assassin | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 50.0% | 45.1% | 53.1% | 50.3% | 1615 | ↑ top |
| 5 | Fire Aggro | 3 | 17.6% | 15 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | 52.0% | 1443 | — |
| 6 | Water Allies | 2 | 11.8% | 8 | 50.0% | 58.5% | 51.4% | 54.4% | 1334 | — |
| 7 | Fire Ravishing Mill | 1 | 5.9% | 5 | 50.0% | 53.1% | 49.4% | 51.5% | 1301 | ↓ low |
| 8 | Slimes | 2 | 11.8% | 5 | 20.0% | 45.4% | 44.3% | 49.3% | 1085 | ↓ low |
| 9 | Water Penguin Mill | 3 | 17.6% | 10 | 30.0% | 36.8% | 41.3% | 42.2% | 1390 | — |
| 10 | Fire Crux Mage | 1 | 5.9% | 2 | 0.0% | 39.0% | 40.0% | 43.2% | 1406 | — |