← Mana Pro Store Championship Singapore
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Mana Pro Store Championship Singapore
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 20.5% | 14 | 4-6-4 | 42.9% | 44.4% | 43.0% | -2.9 |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 47.4% | -1.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 6 | 3-2-1 | 58.3% | 55.0% | 58.5% | +4.5 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +1.2 |
| Fire Exia | 6.8% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 43.8% | -4.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.8% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 53.6% | +2.7 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.8% | -3.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 4 | 1-0-3 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 51.8% | +1.2 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.8% | +15.7 |
Decklists · 8 from this event
The 8 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 17 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 17 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mnemonic Charm | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purge in Flames | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Under Fire | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Apotheosis Rite | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Repelling Palmblast | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Rising Tides | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Crux Sight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Disintegrate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fast Cure | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignite the Soul | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |