← Mana Pro Store Championship Singapore
SlimesTier 2
at Mana Pro Store Championship Singapore
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 20.5% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -1.5 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.2% | 6 | 2-3-1 | 41.7% | 45.0% | 52.6% | +1.4 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.0 |
| Fire Exia | 6.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.8% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 30.3% | -14.7 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -4.7 |
| Wind Cats | 2.3% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.8% | +3.7 |
| Wind Kongming | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.2% | +16.4 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 14 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 14 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime's Blessing | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 |