← Mana Pro Store Championship Singapore
Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Mana Pro Store Championship Singapore
decks
3
(6.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
5-4-5
overall winrate
53.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
53.4%
avg ELO +1.4 per match
expected value
52.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1381
· median 1381
· range 1250–1513
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
953
Q1 1209
Q3 1457
1624
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 20.5% | 4 | 1-1-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.6% | +1.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 18.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.4% | -2.7 |
| Slimes | 9.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 69.7% | +14.7 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 6.8% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.5% | -3.3 |
| Water Allies | 4.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.5% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.6% | -7.1 |
| Fire Umbra Diana | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Kongming | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
