← Favonia Kampar (KAMPAR) - Mortal Ambitions Store Championships
Fire PolkhawkTier 2
at Favonia Kampar (KAMPAR) - Mortal Ambitions Store Championships
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
1-3-0
overall winrate
25.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
37.4%
avg ELO -8.1 per match
expected value
47.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1268
· median 1268
· range 1268–1268
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1152
Q3 1408
1448
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.1% | +11.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.4% | -12.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.0% | -12.7 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.3% | -18.7 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Polkhawk decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
