← Favonia Kampar (KAMPAR) - Mortal Ambitions Store Championships
Water Luxem AssassinTier 2
at Favonia Kampar (KAMPAR) - Mortal Ambitions Store Championships
decks
1
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
3
0-2-1
overall winrate
16.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
40.5%
avg ELO -7.1 per match
expected value
45.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1224
· median 1224
· range 1224–1224
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1152
Q3 1408
1448
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.8% | +2.9 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Polkhawk | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Wind Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.1% | -11.1 |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Luxem Assassin decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
