← Favonia Kampar (KAMPAR) - Mortal Ambitions Store Championships
Wind AlliesTier 2
at Favonia Kampar (KAMPAR) - Mortal Ambitions Store Championships
decks
2
(12.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
2-5-0
overall winrate
28.6%
ELO-adjusted winrate
38.4%
avg ELO -5.8 per match
expected value
45.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1129
· median 1129
· range 1101–1156
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1032
Q1 1152
Q3 1408
1448
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 18.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.8% | -11.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 6.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 34.3% | -15.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.4% | +13.5 |
| Fire Polkhawk | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.1% | -12.6 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
