← Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
Fire SlimesTier 1
at Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 8 | 2-6-0 | 25.0% | 33.3% | 44.2% | -2.8 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 8 | 4-4-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.3% | -0.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.7% | 5 | 4-0-1 | 90.0% | 72.2% | 62.5% | +7.2 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.1% | -1.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 45.7% | -4.1 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.1% | +0.8 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.9% | 6 | 4-2-0 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +3.4 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 44.9% | -3.0 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 41.9% | -7.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.0% | +6.4 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 53.7% | +3.6 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.8% | 4 | 3-1-0 | 75.0% | 62.5% | 52.7% | +1.8 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 57.4% | +11.8 |
| Wind Cats | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.1% | +4.9 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.7% | +7.4 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.0% | +1.5 |
| Fire Beast | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 52.2% | +3.6 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.0% | +8.1 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.8% | +7.7 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 11 from this event
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Entrancing Filigree, Blissful Calling, Turbo Charge. Losers more often ran: Heavenly Guide, Kind Beastcaller, Focused Flames.
Show all 28 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 18 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Forest Cake | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Heavenly Guide | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Entrancing Filigree | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Focused Flames | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Turbo Charge | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Reprogram | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Meltdown | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Twilight Slime | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Ears | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Horse | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Lustrous Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Spellshield: Tera | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stalwart Shieldmate | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 |