← Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
Water AlliesTier 2
at Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
decks
6
(4.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
38
16-20-2
overall winrate
44.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.9%
avg ELO -0.7 per match
expected value
46.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1297
· median 1316
· range 1047–1471
(6 pilots with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1238
Q3 1423
1652
17% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
17% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 48.3% | -1.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 7 | 3-3-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 41.1% | -6.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 58.1% | +7.8 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.0% | -2.3 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 55.9% | +5.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.9% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.1% | -7.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.0% | -1.9 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 47.6% | -1.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Wind Cats | 2.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.4% | +7.1 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.0% | -7.9 |
| Wind Slimes | 1.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.5% | -8.8 |
| Fire Beast | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.6% | -5.5 |
| Fire Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.2% | +9.9 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Water Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
