← Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 10 | 3-6-1 | 35.0% | 39.3% | 48.8% | -0.6 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 10 | 5-4-1 | 55.0% | 53.6% | 51.6% | +0.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.6% | 5 | 0-4-1 | 10.0% | 27.8% | 37.5% | -7.2 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -1.1 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 6 | 3-3-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.9% | -0.6 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 6 | 3-1-2 | 66.7% | 60.0% | 60.6% | +5.6 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 5 | 3-2-0 | 60.0% | 55.6% | 50.4% | +0.2 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 58.9% | +6.7 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.3% | +1.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.2% | +6.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.4% | -0.6 |
| Wind Cats | 2.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 57.0% | +6.7 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +3.3 |
| Wind Slimes | 1.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.9% | +7.8 |
| Fire Beast | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.7% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 42.6% | -7.1 |
| Fire Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.2% | -4.5 |
| Water Exia | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.3% | -5.9 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Wind Exia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 14 from this event
The 14 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (2 draws excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Strategem of Myriad Ice, Primordial Ritual, Revitalizing Cleanse. Losers more often ran: Frostbind, Song of Frost, Snow Fairy.
Show all 49 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Frostbind | -1.00 | 0 | 4 | 0 | |
| Strategem of Myriad Ice | +1.00 | 4 | 0 | 0 | |
| Diffusive Block | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Tideholder Claymore | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Vaporjet Shieldbearer | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ghostsight Glass | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Orb of Sealing | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| Song of Frost | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Primordial Ritual | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Revitalizing Cleanse | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Spirit of Serene Water | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Snow Fairy | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Rippleback Terrapin | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Freezing Steel | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tonoris, Lone Mercenary | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Scepter of Lumina | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Bulwark Sword | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Ravishing Finale | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Intrepid Highwayman | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Water | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Seaside Ringleader | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Frozen Quill | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Intricate Longbow | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tidal Lock | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Silvie, Wilds Whisperer | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Resolute Stand | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Aqueous Stallion | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Defender's Maul | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Freezing Hail | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Waverider Protector | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hailstorm Guard | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Seasprite Diver | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Burst Asunder | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cerulean Decree | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Blinding Orb | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Deep Sea Fractal | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tidestone Bovine | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Chilling Touch | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Crimson Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Torrential Blast | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lunete, Frostbinder Priest | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |