← Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
Water ExiaTier 2
at Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
decks
1
(0.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.4%
avg ELO -2.1 per match
expected value
55.5%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
51.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1250
· median 1250
· range 1250–1250
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1238
Q3 1423
1652
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.1% | +6.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.7% | +5.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.2% | +5.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 39.2% | -10.4 |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Beast | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.2% | -12.4 |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.9% | -8.2 |
| Wind Exia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Exia decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
