← Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
Water Penguin MillTier 2
at Yeti Gaming AMB Season Online Regional #1
decks
1
(0.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
6-2-0
overall winrate
75.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
59.6%
avg ELO +4.6 per match
expected value
56.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1525
· median 1525
· range 1525–1525
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1000
Q1 1238
Q3 1423
1652
100% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 12.5% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.4% | +9.0 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.1% | +9.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.1% | +8.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 7.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.7% | -6.9 |
| Wind Allies | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.3% | +8.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.2% | -7.6 |
| Fire Exia | 5.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 4.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.3% | +6.9 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arisanna | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Beast | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Exia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Silvie | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Kongming | 0.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Penguin Mill decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
