RWTCollective - ALC Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	5	11.4%	7-14-0	33.3%	38.6%	46.8%	47.3%	1215	↓ low
2		Water Allies	Tier 1	5	11.4%	15-10-1	59.6%	56.1%	50.7%	50.0%	1321	—
3		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	4	9.1%	13-4-3	72.5%	65.1%	57.6%	56.4%	1332	—
4		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	4	9.1%	7-7-4	50.0%	50.7%	49.2%	49.8%	1251	—
5		Fire Arcane	Tier 1	3	6.8%	12-5-0	70.6%	65.0%	53.6%	53.5%	1450	↑ top
6	?	Rogue	Tier 2	3	6.8%	6-7-2	46.7%	46.9%	48.1%	48.2%	1416	↑ top
7		Wind Allies	Tier 1	3	6.8%	9-6-1	59.4%	55.2%	53.2%	52.5%	1237	—
8		Fire Umbra Diana	Tier 2	2	4.5%	3-6-1	35.0%	44.8%	47.1%	48.9%	1090	↓ low
9		Water Vanitas	Tier 2	2	4.5%	2-9-1	20.8%	32.6%	41.0%	42.7%	1153	↓ low
10		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	4.5%	3-5-2	40.0%	44.7%	46.3%	47.1%	1245	—
11		Fire Astra Arisanna	Tier 2	1	2.3%	0-5-0	0.0%	24.5%	40.0%	41.2%	1153	↓ low
12		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.3%	4-1-0	80.0%	58.6%	54.1%	51.4%	1357	↑ top
13		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-2-2	50.0%	51.3%	50.0%	50.2%	1139	↓ low
14		Fire Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-1-2	60.0%	59.4%	51.0%	52.6%	1199	↓ low
15		Fire Triskit	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-2-1	50.0%	50.4%	45.8%	46.3%	1192	↓ low
16		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-2-1	50.0%	50.1%	47.5%	48.0%	1182	↓ low
17		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	44.4%	47.5%	47.5%	1150	↓ low
18		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-3-0	40.0%	44.9%	46.2%	46.4%	1561	↑ top
19		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.3%	3-2-0	60.0%	53.1%	52.9%	51.8%	1536	↑ top
20		Water Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-2	40.0%	46.4%	49.4%	50.0%	1345	—
21		Wind Neos Tonoris	Tier 2	1	2.3%	2-2-1	50.0%	46.7%	49.4%	48.4%	1376	↑ top
22		Wind Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.3%	1-2-2	40.0%	46.6%	45.4%	46.6%	1134	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Aggro 5 decks · 11.4%
• Water Allies 5 decks · 11.4%
• Fire Crux Mage 4 decks · 9.1%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 4 decks · 9.1%
• Fire Arcane 3 decks · 6.8%
• ? Rogue 3 decks · 6.8%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 6.8%
• Fire Umbra Diana 2 decks · 4.5%
• Water Vanitas 2 decks · 4.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 4.5%
• Fire Astra Arisanna 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Triskit 1 deck · 2.3%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.3%
• Water Tonoris 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Neos Tonoris 1 deck · 2.3%
• Wind Silvie 1 deck · 2.3%