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Fire Astra ArisannaTier 2

at RWTCollective - ALC Store Championship

decks
1 (2.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5 0-5-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
24.5% avg ELO -14.7 per match
expected value
40.0% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
41.2% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1153 · median 1153 · range 1153–1153 (1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1052 Q1 1154 Q3 1384 1736
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 100% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Aggro 11.4% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.8% -16.3
Water Allies 11.4% 0
Fire Crux Mage 9.1% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 44.0% -9.6
Fire Luxem Assassin 9.1% 0
Fire Arcane 6.8% 0
Rogue 6.8% 0
Wind Allies 6.8% 0
Fire Umbra Diana 4.5% 0
Water Vanitas 4.5% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.4% -15.3
Wind Crux Lorraine 4.5% 0
Fire Crux Lorraine 2.3% 0
Fire Crux Merlin 2.3% 0
Fire Tera Silvie 2.3% 0
Fire Triskit 2.3% 0
Fire Umbra Ranger 2.3% 0
Water Astra Cleric 2.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.5% -15.2
Water Crux Mage 2.3% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 2.3% 0
Water Tonoris 2.3% 0
Wind Neos Tonoris 2.3% 0
Wind Silvie 2.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 39.4% -17.0
Decklists · 1 from this event

The 1 public Fire Astra Arisanna decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/1447/archetypes/Fire Astra Arisanna