← Singapore Regionals at Agora Hobby
Fire Umbra RangerTier 2
at Singapore Regionals at Agora Hobby
decks
4
(5.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
24
10-14-0
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
43.3%
avg ELO -2.5 per match
expected value
42.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
42.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1207
· median 1194
· range 1122–1320
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1087
Q1 1206
Q3 1410
1633
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 14.3% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 35.8% | -13.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 13.0% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 37.2% | -8.2 |
| Water Allies | 11.7% | 3 | 0-3-0 | 0.0% | 28.6% | 34.2% | -11.8 |
| Fire Erupting | 7.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.4% | -2.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 6.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Hybrid | 6.5% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 43.3% | -5.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -13.9 |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 6.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.2% | -0.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 3.9% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 65.1% | +14.5 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Rogue | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.6% | +15.4 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.8% | +14.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Fire Crux Merlin | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Neos | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.4% | +15.0 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 1.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 1.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.0% | +14.5 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Umbra Ranger decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
