Singapore Regionals at Agora Hobby

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Wind Allies	Tier 1	11	14.3%	31-24-6	55.7%	53.8%	53.0%	52.3%	1324	—
2		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	10	13.0%	31-26-2	54.2%	54.8%	51.0%	51.5%	1294	—
3		Water Allies	Tier 1	9	11.7%	33-17-6	64.3%	57.0%	55.4%	52.4%	1335	—
4		Fire Erupting	Tier 1	6	7.8%	19-17-0	52.8%	53.3%	50.1%	50.7%	1268	—
5		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	5	6.5%	12-18-2	40.6%	43.3%	42.7%	43.9%	1197	↓ low
6		Fire Crux Hybrid	Tier 1	5	6.5%	18-14-1	56.1%	56.4%	54.3%	55.0%	1385	↑ top
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	5	6.5%	16-10-5	59.7%	57.8%	52.8%	52.4%	1388	↑ top
8		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 1	5	6.5%	13-13-5	50.0%	50.1%	50.0%	50.3%	1347	—
9		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	4	5.2%	10-14-0	41.7%	43.3%	42.0%	42.9%	1207	↓ low
10		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	3	3.9%	5-11-2	33.3%	38.9%	46.0%	47.3%	1265	—
11		Fire Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	2	2.6%	3-7-0	30.0%	37.5%	42.1%	43.4%	1246	↓ low
12	?	Rogue	Tier 2	2	2.6%	3-7-1	31.8%	39.7%	42.9%	44.6%	1307	—
13		Water Astra Cleric	Tier 2	2	2.6%	0-7-2	11.1%	25.5%	42.7%	43.3%	1139	↓ low
14		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	2.6%	6-8-0	42.9%	49.7%	46.8%	49.0%	1292	—
15		Fire Crux Merlin	Tier 2	1	1.3%	5-2-0	71.4%	61.3%	52.5%	52.0%	1633	↑ top
16		Fire Neos	Tier 3	1	1.3%	0-1-0	0.0%	40.8%	40.0%	40.8%	1468	↑ top
17		Water Crux Mage	Tier 3	1	1.3%	2-5-0	28.6%	39.0%	44.3%	45.7%	1262	—
18		Water Silvie	Tier 3	1	1.3%	0-2-0	0.0%	35.1%	40.0%	40.8%	1171	↓ low
19		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 3	1	1.3%	0-4-2	16.7%	34.2%	41.0%	43.1%	1126	↓ low
20		Wind Umbra Diana	Tier 3	1	1.3%	3-4-0	42.9%	45.0%	44.7%	44.8%	1219	↓ low
21		Wind Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	1.3%	4-3-0	57.1%	54.7%	48.2%	48.7%	1145	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Wind Allies 11 decks · 14.3%
• Fire Aggro 10 decks · 13.0%
• Water Allies 9 decks · 11.7%
• Fire Erupting 6 decks · 7.8%
• Fire Arcane 5 decks · 6.5%
• Fire Crux Hybrid 5 decks · 6.5%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 5 decks · 6.5%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 5 decks · 6.5%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 4 decks · 5.2%
• Fire Crux Mage 3 decks · 3.9%
• Fire Crux Lorraine 2 decks · 2.6%
• ? Rogue 2 decks · 2.6%
• Water Astra Cleric 2 decks · 2.6%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 2.6%
• Fire Crux Merlin 1 deck · 1.3%
• Fire Neos 1 deck · 1.3%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.3%
• Water Silvie 1 deck · 1.3%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 1.3%
• Wind Umbra Diana 1 deck · 1.3%
• Wind Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 1.3%