AMB Massachusetts Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 1	6	15.4%	17-12-5	57.4%	49.4%	52.9%	49.9%	1436	↑ top
2		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	3	7.7%	10-8-0	55.6%	59.0%	48.7%	50.8%	1204	↓ low
3		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	3	7.7%	5-8-3	40.6%	43.3%	49.7%	50.3%	1335	—
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	2	5.1%	1-5-3	27.8%	38.4%	44.3%	44.7%	1208	↓ low
5		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 2	2	5.1%	1-4-1	25.0%	42.0%	40.9%	46.0%	1253	—
6		Fire Exia	Tier 2	2	5.1%	5-7-0	41.7%	43.0%	47.7%	48.2%	1302	—
7		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	5.1%	8-2-2	75.0%	56.0%	55.5%	51.7%	1465	↑ top
8		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	2	5.1%	8-2-2	75.0%	68.2%	58.1%	58.2%	1461	↑ top
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	5.1%	4-6-2	41.7%	42.7%	48.3%	49.0%	1282	—
10		Fire Arisanna	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-3-2	33.3%	37.0%	46.9%	45.9%	1204	↓ low
11		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	56.7%	45.7%	49.6%	1304	—
12		Fire Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-5-0	0.0%	32.6%	40.0%	44.1%	1183	↓ low
13		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	69.0%	54.6%	56.4%	1432	↑ top
14		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	51.2%	50.0%	51.2%	1191	↓ low
15		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-2-0	66.7%	67.7%	54.5%	57.0%	1207	↓ low
16		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	2.6%	2-3-0	40.0%	37.2%	48.0%	44.5%	1422	↑ top
17		Water Polkhawk	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-5-0	0.0%	36.7%	40.0%	46.2%	976	↓ low
18		Water Tera Kongming	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	59.3%	53.3%	57.0%	1148	↓ low
19		Water Tera Silvie	Tier 2	1	2.6%	1-3-0	25.0%	43.8%	41.3%	45.1%	1123	↓ low
20		Wind Allies	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	55.0%	58.7%	53.8%	1453	↑ top
21		Wind Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-3-0	50.0%	47.1%	44.4%	44.4%	1201	↓ low
22		Wind Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	2.6%	4-1-1	75.0%	60.0%	54.1%	52.4%	1307	—
23		Wind Overlord	Tier 2	1	2.6%	0-3-0	0.0%	35.6%	40.0%	44.1%	1221	↓ low
24		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.6%	3-1-1	70.0%	54.6%	55.0%	53.1%	1311	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Penguin Mill 6 decks · 15.4%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 7.7%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 7.7%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Exia 2 decks · 5.1%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 5.1%
• Wind Razorgale 2 decks · 5.1%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 5.1%
• Fire Arisanna 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Polkhawk 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.6%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Polkhawk 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Tera Kongming 1 deck · 2.6%
• Water Tera Silvie 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Allies 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Arcane 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Overlord 1 deck · 2.6%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 2.6%