Fire Crux MageTier 2
at 淡水 貓腳印 AMB 店家冠軍賽
decks
3
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
5-7-3
overall winrate
43.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.0%
avg ELO -0.0 per match
expected value
47.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1377
· median 1405
· range 1262–1463
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1265
Q3 1455
1536
33% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
33% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.3% | 5 | 2-2-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.3% | 5 | 0-3-2 | 20.0% | 33.3% | 41.2% | -5.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -4.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.9 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 56.3% | +10.0 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
