Wind AlliesTier 1
at 淡水 貓腳印 AMB 店家冠軍賽
decks
3
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
10-2-1
overall winrate
80.8%
ELO-adjusted winrate
64.1%
avg ELO +5.9 per match
expected value
61.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
57.1%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1488
· median 1495
· range 1432–1536
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1265
Q3 1455
1536
67% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.3% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 55.1% | +3.8 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.3% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 63.6% | +10.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.3% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.7% | +9.3 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 60.1% | +9.7 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.6% | +7.3 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.7% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 44.6% | -5.2 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
