← 淡水 貓腳印 AMB 店家冠軍賽

Wind RazorgaleTier 2

at 淡水 貓腳印 AMB 店家冠軍賽

decks
4 (13.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15 7-8-0
overall winrate
46.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7% avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
46.1% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
47.4% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1384 · median 1382 · range 1272–1499 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088 Q1 1265 Q3 1455 1536
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Slimes 23.3% 6 2-4-0 33.3% 40.0% 44.5% -2.9
Water Ravishing Mill 13.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 40.9% -14.5
Fire Aggro 10.0% 0
Fire Crux Mage 10.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 53.1% +4.9
Wind Allies 10.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 40.3% -9.3
Fire Astra Cleric 6.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 59.5% +9.1
Wind Shadowstrike 6.7% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 54.0% +3.9
Fire Arcane 3.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 61.3% +18.0
Wind Astra Cleric 3.3% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 30 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Unbroken Mustang +1.00 2 0 0
Forest Cake -1.00 0 2 0
Stifling Trap +1.00 2 0 0
Slimeshield -1.00 0 2 0
Scavenging Raccoon +1.00 2 0 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 2 0
Baby Gray Slime -1.00 0 2 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 2 0
Baby Green Slime -1.00 0 2 0
Nullifying Mirror +1.00 2 0 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 2 0 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 2 0
Three Visits -1.00 0 2 0
Aesan Protector -0.50 0 1 1
Shimmercloak Assassin +0.50 1 0 0
Diablerie -0.50 0 1 1
Fire Resonance Bauble -0.50 0 1 1
Turbo Charge +0.50 1 0 1
Swift Recruit +0.50 1 0 0
Dematerialize -0.50 0 1 1
Landscape Corsair +0.50 1 0 0
Dream Fairy +0.50 1 0 1
Dusklight Communion +0.50 1 0 0
Scout the Land +0.50 1 0 0
Smoke Bombs +0.50 1 0 0
Second Wind +0.50 1 0 0
Ardent Cloudstriker +0.50 1 0 0
Memento Mori +0.50 1 0 0
Crimson Protective Trinket +0.50 1 0 0
Innervate Agility +0.50 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/15239/archetypes/Wind Razorgale