Wind ShadowstrikeTier 2
at 淡水 貓腳印 AMB 店家冠軍賽
decks
2
(6.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
4-4-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.9%
avg ELO -0.5 per match
expected value
48.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1287
· median 1287
· range 1157–1418
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1088
Q1 1265
Q3 1455
1536
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Slimes | 23.3% | 3 | 0-2-1 | 16.7% | 35.7% | 41.2% | -6.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 13.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.3% | +5.3 |
| Wind Razorgale | 13.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.0% | -3.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.7% | -10.0 |
| Wind Allies | 10.0% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 55.4% | +5.2 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 6.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.5% | +16.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
