← Weatherlight Grand Archive ALC Store Championship
Wind Tera SilvieTier 2
at Weatherlight Grand Archive ALC Store Championship
decks
2
(7.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
9
3-5-1
overall winrate
38.9%
ELO-adjusted winrate
46.5%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
44.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1197
· median 1197
· range 1161–1232
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1070
Q1 1192
Q3 1398
1535
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
50% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 22.2% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +0.7 |
| Fire Arcane | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.8% | -13.1 |
| Fire Crux Mage | 11.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.8% | -10.0 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 11.1% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 36.8% | -12.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 7.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Erupting | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Tamer | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 3.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Lorraine | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Water Umbra Diana | 3.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
Decklists · 2 from this event
The 2 public Wind Tera Silvie decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
