SlimesTier 1
at Mortal Ambition Regionals
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Allies | 15.4% | 3 | 2-0-1 | 83.3% | 64.3% | 64.3% | +10.7 |
| Fire Exia | 7.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.6% | -15.1 |
| Fire Umbra Ranger | 7.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Water Allies | 5.1% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 5.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.1 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.1% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.6% | +0.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 5.1% | 3 | 1-2-0 | 33.3% | 42.9% | 46.3% | -2.7 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.0% | +2.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 42.5% | -12.0 |
| Fire Neos Tonoris | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 38.7% | -18.1 |
| Fire Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Silvie | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 60.8% | +17.3 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Exia | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.5% | +13.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Tristan | 2.6% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 39.8% | -9.8 |
Decklists · 6 from this event
The 6 public Slimes decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 29 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lustrous Slime | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime King | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Blue Slime | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tera Sight | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slime Eruption | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Reprogram | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Blessing | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Twilight Slime | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Key Slime Pudding | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vampiric Slime | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Paws | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Kind Beastcaller | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Life Essence Amulet | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Verdant Slime | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slime Nexus | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Ordinary Bear | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blissful Calling | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hymn of Gaia's Grace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Bestial Frenzy | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gaia's Songbird | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Red Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Baby Green Slime | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |