← events

Cancon 2025 Regionals

2025-01-26 · 38 Garema Pl, Canberra ACT 2600, Australia · season Mortal Ambition · Standard

27 decks · 67 matches loaded. View: EV ranking · head-to-head matrix

Element distribution
Fire 19% Water 52% Wind 19% Other 11%
Top archetypes
  1. Water Ravishing Mill 22.2%
  2. Slimes 11.1%
  3. Fire Crux Mage 7.4%
  4. Water Allies 7.4%
  5. Water Penguin Mill 7.4%
Archetype Breakdown

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

# Archetype Tier Decks Share W-L-D Winrate Adj WR EV Adj EV Avg ELO Skew
1
Water Ravishing Mill
Tier 1 6 11-10-5 51.9% 48.4% 50.2% 49.2% 1289 —
2
Slimes Tier 2 3 4-10-1 30.0% 43.1% 47.7% 50.6% 1177 ↓ low
3
Fire Crux Mage
Tier 2 2 4-6-0 40.0% 54.0% 47.9% 51.3% 1235 ↓ low
4
Water Allies
Tier 1 2 7-0-3 85.0% 62.4% 59.4% 54.6% 1571 ↑ top
5
Water Penguin Mill
Tier 2 2 5-5-0 50.0% 50.0% 46.7% 46.7% 1361 —
6
Wind Allies
Tier 2 2 4-5-1 45.0% 57.1% 47.6% 52.8% 1198 ↓ low
7
Wind Astra Cleric
Tier 2 2 5-5-0 50.0% 39.4% 48.5% 45.6% 1552 ↑ top
8
Fire Aggro
Tier 2 1 3-0-2 80.0% 63.9% 57.3% 56.0% 1257 —
9
Fire Crux Lorraine
Tier 2 1 2-3-0 40.0% 34.1% 53.8% 48.5% 1547 ↑ top
10
Fire Crux Merlin
Tier 2 1 1-2-0 33.3% 56.2% 55.0% 60.0% 972 ↓ low
11
Water Arisanna
Tier 2 1 3-1-1 70.0% 64.4% 48.5% 50.8% 1460 ↑ top
12
Water Crux Mage
Tier 2 1 1-3-0 25.0% 41.9% 50.0% 50.4% 1171 ↓ low
13
Water Slimes
Tier 2 1 3-1-1 70.0% 48.9% 51.7% 47.8% 1552 ↑ top
14
Water Tera Mage
Tier 2 1 2-3-0 40.0% 49.0% 47.0% 50.1% 1188 ↓ low
15
Wind Shadowstrike
Tier 2 1 2-3-0 40.0% 42.0% 43.6% 42.7% 1307 —
Final Placements · 27 players

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

Placement Player Record Deck
1 Limelight 4-0-1 Water Allies
2 WhiteBread 3-0-2 Fire Aggro
3 Tien 3-0-2 Water Allies
4 Kushieda 3-1-1 Water Ravishing Mill
5 Yeche 3-1-1 Water Arisanna
6 Nathan 3-1-1 Water Slimes
7 Wondy 3-2-0 Wind Astra Cleric
8 Roxsas 2-1-0 Water Ravishing Mill
9 Alec 3-2-0 Water Penguin Mill
10 MAD 2-0-3 Water Ravishing Mill
11 Malxy 3-2-0 Fire Crux Mage
12 Roy 2-1-2 Water Ravishing Mill
13 AmyJM 2-2-1 Water Ravishing Mill
14 KingT 2-2-1 Slimes
15 Chocofelicy 2-2-1 Wind Allies
16 Pulse 2-3-0 Wind Astra Cleric
17 Stretch 2-3-0 Wind Allies
18 Over9000 2-3-0 Water Penguin Mill
19 Necrotic 2-3-0 Wind Shadowstrike
20 Doomloom3 1-3-0 Water Crux Mage
21 Dal157 2-3-0 Fire Crux Lorraine
22 LillyLuna 2-3-0 Water Tera Mage
23 bread256 1-2-0 Fire Crux Merlin
24 MelodyO 1-4-0 Fire Crux Mage
25 KingdomVA 1-4-0 Slimes
26 KittenPantz 1-4-0 Slimes
27 Zurdem 0-5-0 Water Ravishing Mill
Browse Decks · 15 archetypes

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.