Water Umbra RangerTier 2
at Scrubbed out of Steel
decks
1
(2.9% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
4
0-3-1
overall winrate
12.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
47.5%
avg ELO -1.6 per match
expected value
41.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.8%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1189
· median 1189
· range 1189–1189
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1030
Q1 1214
Q3 1414
1689
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 17.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.5% | -2.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 11.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Slimes | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Slimes | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.7% | -2.0 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Overlord | 2.9% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.9% | -0.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Umbra Ranger decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
