Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1
at Scrubbed out of Steel
decks
4
(11.4% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
22
11-11-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1%
avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
51.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1333
· median 1380
· range 1030–1543
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1030
Q1 1214
Q3 1414
1689
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
25% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 17.1% | 3 | 3-0-0 | 100.0% | 71.4% | 54.8% | +3.6 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 11.4% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 47.0% | -2.9 |
| Fire Aggro | 8.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.7% | +2.7 |
| Fire Slimes | 8.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.9% | +3.0 |
| Slimes | 8.6% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 47.5% | -2.4 |
| Water Allies | 8.6% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.9% | +0.7 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 8.6% | 4 | 1-3-0 | 25.0% | 37.5% | 49.2% | -0.5 |
| Wind Allies | 5.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.4% | -4.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.6% | +2.6 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.1% | -3.0 |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Wind Overlord | 2.9% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.9% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.8% | -3.5 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
