Wind RazorgaleTier 2
at Haven Games Regional
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Penguin Mill | 13.5% | 4 | 0-4-0 | 0.0% | 25.0% | 35.6% | -9.2 |
| Slimes | 10.8% | 2 | 0-0-2 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.2% | -1.7 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 8.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.4% | -8.9 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.7% | -8.6 |
| Fire Slimes | 5.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.5% | +2.4 |
| Water Allies | 5.4% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 62.6% | +12.1 |
| Water Crux Mage | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 5.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 51.1% | +1.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 2.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 58.9% | +14.3 |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Wind Razorgale decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 2 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 2 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 2 mirrors we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 30 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 30 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Resonance Bauble | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Slimeshield | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Mirror | +1.00 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | -1.00 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Wind | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Aesan Protector | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Cyclical Breeze | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Fan of Seven Debts | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Tempest Downfall | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Kongming, Wayward Maven | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Bagua of Cardinal Fate | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Ardent Cloudstriker | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 1 | |
| Tariff Ring | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Three Visits | +0.50 | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Diablerie | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scout the Land | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Cleric Robes | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Vanitas, Obliviate Schemer | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Serene Wind | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Escape the Wreckage | -0.50 | 0 | 1 | 0 |