← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/30/2025
Water Crux MageTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/30/2025
decks
4
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
15
8-4-3
overall winrate
63.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.7%
avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
54.2%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1496
· median 1515
· range 1373–1582
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1208
Q3 1433
1652
75% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 9.5% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.5 |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.7% | -0.3 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.8% | 2 | 0-1-1 | 25.0% | 41.7% | 49.0% | -1.0 |
| Fire Neos | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.4% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Shadowstrike | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.6% | +0.9 |
| Wind Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
