← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/30/2025
Water Ravishing MillTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/30/2025
decks
4
(9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14
8-5-1
overall winrate
60.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.6%
avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
51.7%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1418
· median 1406
· range 1318–1541
(4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1208
Q3 1433
1652
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Allies | 9.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 9.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 9.5% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 9.5% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 51.3% | +1.0 |
| Slimes | 7.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Fire Aggro | 4.8% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Crux Lorraine | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Fire Slimes | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Water Astra Cleric | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 4.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Razorgale | 4.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.2 |
| Fire Neos | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Shadowstrike | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Silvie | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Mage | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Water Ravishing Mill decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
