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Wind ShadowstrikeTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 1/30/2025

decks
4 (9.5% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14 6-6-2
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.8% avg ELO -0.1 per match
expected value
50.3% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.0% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1367 · median 1344 · range 1265–1513 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1208 Q3 1433 1652
25% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Water Allies 9.5% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.3
Water Crux Mage 9.5% 2 1-1-0 50.0% 50.0% 50.5% +0.5
Water Penguin Mill 9.5% 4 2-1-1 62.5% 56.2% 50.6% +0.4
Water Ravishing Mill 9.5% 3 1-2-0 33.3% 42.9% 48.7% -1.0
Slimes 7.1% 0
Fire Aggro 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 48.9% -1.8
Fire Crux Lorraine 4.8% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.4
Fire Slimes 4.8% 0
Water Astra Cleric 4.8% 0
Wind Allies 4.8% 0
Wind Razorgale 4.8% 0
Fire Neos 2.4% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.8% -0.3
Fire Ravishing Mill 2.4% 0
Shadowstrike 2.4% 0
Water Luxem Assassin 2.4% 0
Water Silvie 2.4% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.2
Water Tera Mage 2.4% 0
Wind Exia 2.4% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Wind Shadowstrike decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 41 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 41 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Aesan Protector -1.00 0 1 0
Sinister Mindreaver -1.00 0 1 0
Emergent Dagger -1.00 0 1 0
Veiling Breeze +1.00 1 0 0
Heavenly Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Ensnaring Fumes -1.00 0 1 0
Vanish from Sight -1.00 0 1 0
Inspiring Call +1.00 1 0 0
Eternal Magistrate -1.00 0 1 0
Shadowstrike +1.00 1 0 0
Turbo Charge +1.00 1 0 0
Verdigris Decree -1.00 0 1 0
Chalice of Blood +1.00 1 0 0
Safeguard Amulet +1.00 1 0 0
Sadi, Blood Harvester +1.00 1 0 0
Mastermind Scheme +1.00 1 0 0
Escape the Wreckage -1.00 0 1 0
Poisoned Dagger -1.00 0 1 0
Scatter Essence +1.00 1 0 0
Sirocco Operative -1.00 0 1 0
Blackmarket Broker +1.00 1 0 0
Tithe Proclamation -1.00 0 1 0
Sharpen Blade +1.00 1 0 0
Diablerie +1.00 1 0 0
Dungeon Guide +1.00 1 0 0
Stifling Trap -1.00 0 1 0
Tempest Downfall +1.00 1 0 0
Shadow Resonance -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Lantern -1.00 0 1 0
Assassin's Ripper +1.00 1 0 0
Blinding Orb -1.00 0 1 0
Exploit Vulnerability -1.00 0 1 0
Swift Recruit -1.00 0 1 0
Cloaked Executioner -1.00 0 1 0
Betraying Blade -1.00 0 1 0
Zephyr -1.00 0 1 0
Nullifying Mirror -1.00 0 1 0
Dream Fairy -1.00 0 1 0
Innervate Agility -1.00 0 1 0
Penumbral Waltz +1.00 1 0 0

JSON: /api/events/18241/archetypes/Wind Shadowstrike