← Yeti Gaming Win-An-HVN-Case Event
Fire Crux MageTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Win-An-HVN-Case Event
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.9% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 50.2% | +0.2 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 6 | 1-4-1 | 25.0% | 35.0% | 48.9% | -0.6 |
| Fire Exia | 5.4% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.4% | +0.3 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.8 |
| Water Allies | 5.4% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.4% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.7% | +0.7 |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.2% | +2.0 |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 5 | 2-3-0 | 40.0% | 44.4% | 49.9% | -0.0 |
| Wind Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 2 | 1-0-1 | 75.0% | 58.3% | 50.5% | +0.5 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.1 |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Water Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Neos | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Slimes | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
Decklists · 9 from this event
The 9 public Fire Crux Mage decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches (1 draw excluded), here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Thunderclap, Disintegrate, Favorable Winds. Losers more often ran: Incarnate Majesty, Kongming, Wayward Maven, Spark Alight.
Show all 48 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 29 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Thunderclap | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Disintegrate | +0.75 | 3 | 0 | 1 | |
| Resolute Stand | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Fast Cure | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Sudden Steel | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Favorable Winds | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scry the Skies | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 1 | |
| Spirit Blade: Ascension | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Incapacitate | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Reduce to Ash | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sable Remnant | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 0 | |
| Incarnate Majesty | -0.50 | 1 | 3 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| Drawn Blade | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Prismatic Edge | +0.50 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
| Mnemonic Charm | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 1 | |
| Nascent Blast | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Turbo Charge | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Tome of Sorcery | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Incendiary Fractal | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Devastating Blow | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Ignite the Soul | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Varuckan Acolyte | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Heighten Spellcraft | -0.50 | 0 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fragmented Spirit of Fire | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Kongming, Wayward Maven | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Spark Alight | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Morgan, Soul Guide | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Safeguard Amulet | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Harmonious Mantra | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Wandering Warrior | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Library Witch | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Spirit of Fire | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Freezing Steel | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Honorable Vanguard | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Potion Infusion: Seal | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Gentle Respite | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Meltdown | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lavasoul Tiger | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Purge in Flames | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Under Fire | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Backup Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 |