Yeti Gaming Win-An-HVN-Case Event

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	9	16.1%	14-14-5	50.0%	50.1%	52.0%	50.2%	1406	↑ top
2		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	6	10.7%	12-14-5	46.8%	50.3%	47.2%	50.0%	1348	—
3		Water Penguin Mill	Tier 2	5	8.9%	9-16-2	37.0%	49.8%	44.0%	49.8%	1227	↓ low
4		Fire Aggro	Tier 2	4	7.1%	8-8-3	50.0%	50.1%	47.9%	49.8%	1362	—
5		Wind Razorgale	Tier 1	4	7.1%	16-9-2	63.0%	51.2%	56.6%	50.6%	1410	↑ top
6		Fire Exia	Tier 2	3	5.4%	2-9-2	23.1%	48.6%	45.0%	49.7%	1254	↓ low
7		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	3	5.4%	10-4-2	68.8%	51.4%	55.0%	50.4%	1379	—
8		Water Allies	Tier 1	3	5.4%	7-6-1	53.6%	49.4%	51.0%	49.7%	1418	↑ top
9		Water Ravishing Mill	Tier 1	3	5.4%	9-6-4	57.9%	49.0%	54.3%	49.7%	1473	↑ top
10		Wind Allies	Tier 2	3	5.4%	8-5-3	59.4%	50.5%	49.3%	49.9%	1349	—
11		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	3.6%	7-4-3	60.7%	50.3%	53.3%	50.1%	1365	—
12		Wind Exia	Tier 2	2	3.6%	4-7-0	36.4%	49.8%	48.2%	50.0%	1221	↓ low
13		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	3.6%	4-4-4	50.0%	49.6%	48.9%	49.8%	1282	↓ low
14		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-1-2	66.7%	50.3%	56.0%	50.4%	1471	↑ top
15		Fire Kongming	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-2-1	58.3%	50.3%	49.0%	49.9%	1211	↓ low
16		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 3	1	1.8%	1-3-1	30.0%	49.8%	42.9%	49.8%	1067	↓ low
17		Water Crux Mage	Tier 2	1	1.8%	2-2-2	50.0%	50.0%	51.2%	50.1%	1223	↓ low
18		Water Kongming	Tier 3	1	1.8%	1-3-2	33.3%	49.2%	45.3%	49.7%	1223	↓ low
19		Water Neos	Tier 3	1	1.8%	1-3-1	30.0%	49.0%	42.9%	49.4%	1299	—
20		Wind Neos	Tier 3	1	1.8%	2-3-1	41.7%	49.6%	47.8%	49.9%	1525	↑ top
21		Wind Slimes	Tier 2	1	1.8%	3-3-0	50.0%	49.2%	53.6%	49.9%	1311	—

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Crux Mage 9 decks · 16.1%
• Wind Astra Cleric 6 decks · 10.7%
• Water Penguin Mill 5 decks · 8.9%
• Fire Aggro 4 decks · 7.1%
• Wind Razorgale 4 decks · 7.1%
• Fire Exia 3 decks · 5.4%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 3 decks · 5.4%
• Water Allies 3 decks · 5.4%
• Water Ravishing Mill 3 decks · 5.4%
• Wind Allies 3 decks · 5.4%
• Water Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 3.6%
• Wind Exia 2 decks · 3.6%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 3.6%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 1.8%
• Fire Kongming 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Crux Mage 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Kongming 1 deck · 1.8%
• Water Neos 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Neos 1 deck · 1.8%
• Wind Slimes 1 deck · 1.8%