← Yeti Gaming Win-An-HVN-Case Event
Water NeosTier 3
at Yeti Gaming Win-An-HVN-Case Event
decks
1
(1.8% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
5
1-3-1
overall winrate
30.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
49.0%
avg ELO -0.6 per match
expected value
42.9%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1299
· median 1299
· range 1299–1299
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1039
Q1 1241
Q3 1432
1750
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Crux Mage | 16.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 10.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 8.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 7.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.9% | -1.8 |
| Fire Exia | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 3.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 3.6% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Arcane | 1.8% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.1% | +0.1 |
| Fire Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Neos | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Water Neos decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
