Fire Firebloom BurnTier 2
at MVG HVN Regional 4/6
decks
1
(2.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-4-0
overall winrate
33.3%
ELO-adjusted winrate
48.5%
avg ELO -0.8 per match
expected value
50.0%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
53.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1140
· median 1140
· range 1140–1140
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1004
Q1 1134
Q3 1327
1511
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 17.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 11.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.5% | +20.0 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 8.9% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 6.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 6.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.1% | -4.6 |
| Water Genbu | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 4.4% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Exia | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 40.1% | -15.8 |
| Fire Arcane | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia Jin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 2.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.8% | +20.4 |
| Wind Crux Mage | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.2% | -14.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.3% | -10.7 |
| Wind Silvie | 2.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
