ZanderTier 2
at HVN Massachusetts Regionals
decks
1
(2.6% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.2 per match
expected value
48.3%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
48.4%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1159
· median 1159
· range 1159–1159
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
976
Q1 1190
Q3 1328
1474
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Aggro | 10.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 10.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.4% | -17.0 |
| Water Fractal | 7.7% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 52.0% | +1.9 |
| Wind Allies | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Tera Mage | 5.1% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 64.9% | +14.3 |
| Water Genbu | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 5.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Arcane | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Dawn of Ashes | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Astra Cleric | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Exia | 2.6% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.0% | -14.3 |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Diana | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Umbra Ranger | 2.6% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Zander decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
