Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Fire Exia	Tier 2	4	12.5%	9-11-1	45.2%	49.9%	48.5%	50.2%	1255	↓ low
2		Water Fractal	Tier 2	4	12.5%	7-9-2	44.4%	49.7%	48.6%	49.7%	1376	↑ top
3		Wind Allies	Tier 2	4	12.5%	7-10-1	41.7%	47.0%	48.9%	48.8%	1351	—
4		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 1	3	9.4%	7-5-4	56.2%	57.5%	52.3%	52.7%	1355	—
5		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	6.2%	6-4-0	60.0%	48.2%	54.1%	50.4%	1335	—
6		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 1	2	6.2%	7-4-0	63.6%	46.8%	50.5%	47.1%	1320	—
7		Slimes	Tier 2	2	6.2%	3-5-0	37.5%	55.4%	44.4%	49.6%	1127	↓ low
8		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 1	2	6.2%	4-1-0	80.0%	51.6%	59.0%	51.7%	1382	↑ top
9		Fire Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	47.0%	44.0%	45.8%	1474	↑ top
10		Fire Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	47.0%	44.0%	45.8%	1474	↑ top
11		Fire Tera Diao Chan	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-1-0	80.0%	70.1%	55.6%	58.2%	1546	↑ top
12		Water Allies	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	47.9%	58.1%	51.6%	1599	↑ top
13		Water Crux Lorraine	Tier 2	1	3.1%	3-1-1	70.0%	47.9%	58.1%	51.6%	1599	↑ top
14		Water Genbu	Tier 2	1	3.1%	4-0-2	83.3%	66.8%	58.9%	56.3%	1427	↑ top
15		Water Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-2-3	30.0%	44.4%	44.5%	47.2%	1074	↓ low
16		Wind Byakko	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-5-1	8.3%	35.4%	41.0%	44.0%	983	↓ low
17		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-1-2	60.0%	51.3%	52.5%	51.0%	1270	—
18		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	3.1%	0-3-2	20.0%	35.5%	42.9%	44.4%	1149	↓ low
19		Wind Zander	Tier 2	1	3.1%	2-3-0	40.0%	47.8%	49.1%	50.1%	1255	↓ low

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Fire Exia 4 decks · 12.5%
• Water Fractal 4 decks · 12.5%
• Wind Allies 4 decks · 12.5%
• Wind Astra Cleric 3 decks · 9.4%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 6.2%
• Slimes 2 decks · 6.2%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 6.2%
• Fire Razorgale 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Slice & Dice 1 deck · 3.1%
• Fire Tera Diao Chan 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Allies 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Crux Lorraine 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Genbu 1 deck · 3.1%
• Water Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Byakko 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 3.1%
• Wind Zander 1 deck · 3.1%