← Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals
SlimesTier 2
at Card Merchant Hamilton Regionals
decks
2
(6.2% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
8
3-5-0
overall winrate
37.5%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.4%
avg ELO +2.6 per match
expected value
44.4%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1127
· median 1127
· range 1043–1210
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
983
Q1 1215
Q3 1404
1599
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Exia | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 47.3% | -4.3 |
| Water Fractal | 12.5% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.9% | -5.0 |
| Wind Allies | 12.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 9.4% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Fire Aggro | 6.2% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 6.2% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 46.5% | -5.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 6.2% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.1 |
| Fire Razorgale | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Fire Slice & Dice | 3.1% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 61.2% | +17.9 |
| Fire Tera Diao Chan | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Allies | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Lorraine | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Assassin | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Byakko | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Diana | 3.1% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 45.3% | -7.6 |
| Wind Razorgale | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Zander | 3.1% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
