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Fire AggroTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/27/2025

decks
2 (4.7% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6 3-3-0
overall winrate
50.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.6% avg ELO +0.3 per match
expected value
50.2% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.3% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1253 · median 1253 · range 1179–1328 (2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1234 Q3 1423 1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 50% in the bottom. This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Firebloom Burn 9.3% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 49.1% -0.9
Fire Suzaku 9.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.4% +2.2
Fire Exia 7.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 50.8% +1.3
Water Fractal 7.0% 0
Wind Allies 7.0% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.5
Wind Seiryuu 7.0% 0
Wind Shadowstrike 7.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.0% -1.6
Water Penguin Mill 4.7% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 4.7% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 2.3% 0
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.3% 0
Fire Ravishing Mill 2.3% 0
Fire Seiryuu 2.3% 0
Water Arcane 2.3% 0
Water Crux Mage 2.3% 0
Water Genbu 2.3% 0
Water Luxem Zander 2.3% 0
Water Tera Cleric 2.3% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 2.3% 0
Wind Byakko 2.3% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 2.3% 0
Wind Luxem Zander 2.3% 0
Wind Razorgale 2.3% 0
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.3% 0
Decklists · 2 from this event

The 2 public Fire Aggro decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

JSON: /api/events/22428/archetypes/Fire Aggro