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Fire Firebloom BurnTier 1

at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/27/2025

decks
4 (9.3% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
14 7-5-2
overall winrate
57.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.1% avg ELO +0.0 per match
expected value
50.7% share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
49.9% share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1395 · median 1395 · range 1251–1541 (4 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083 Q1 1234 Q3 1423 1624
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile, 0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups

Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.

Opponent Their share Matches W-L-D Raw WR Shrunk WR Adj WR ELO Δ/match
Fire Suzaku 9.3% 0
Fire Exia 7.0% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.1% -1.4
Water Fractal 7.0% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 50.2% +0.4
Wind Allies 7.0% 0
Wind Seiryuu 7.0% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 50.6% +0.6
Wind Shadowstrike 7.0% 2 0-2-0 0.0% 33.3% 48.0% -1.9
Fire Aggro 4.7% 2 2-0-0 100.0% 66.7% 50.9% +0.9
Water Penguin Mill 4.7% 0
Water Ravishing Mill 4.7% 0
Fire Astra Cleric 2.3% 1 0-0-1 50.0% 50.0% 49.6% -0.7
Fire Luxem Assassin 2.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.2% +1.8
Fire Ravishing Mill 2.3% 0
Fire Seiryuu 2.3% 0
Water Arcane 2.3% 0
Water Crux Mage 2.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.2% +1.9
Water Genbu 2.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.4% -0.9
Water Luxem Zander 2.3% 0
Water Tera Cleric 2.3% 0
Water Umbra Ranger 2.3% 0
Wind Byakko 2.3% 0
Wind Luxem Assassin 2.3% 1 1-0-0 100.0% 60.0% 51.0% +1.5
Wind Luxem Zander 2.3% 0
Wind Razorgale 2.3% 1 0-1-0 0.0% 40.0% 49.3% -1.2
Wind Wakeup Combo 2.3% 0
Decklists · 4 from this event

The 4 public Fire Firebloom Burn decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.

Mirror Analysis

In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.

No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.

Show all 19 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 19 held back from the grid above)
Card Edge In winner In loser Same Direction
Veteran Blazebearer +1.00 1 0 0
Fire Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Captivating Cutthroat +1.00 1 0 0
Under Fire +1.00 1 0 0
Demolition -1.00 0 1 0
Ravenous Pyre -1.00 0 1 0
Xiao Qiao, Cinderkeeper +1.00 1 0 0
Backup Charger +1.00 1 0 0
Necklace of Foresight -1.00 0 1 0
Blazing Bowman +1.00 1 0 0
Wind Resonance Bauble -1.00 0 1 0
Spark Alight -1.00 0 1 0
Dazzling Courtesan +1.00 1 0 0
Blazing Throw +1.00 1 0 0
Clumsy Apprentice -1.00 0 1 0
Tariff Ring -1.00 0 1 0
Brackish Lutist +1.00 1 0 0
Red Hare, Unrivaled Stallion -1.00 0 1 0
Disenchant -1.00 0 1 0

JSON: /api/events/22428/archetypes/Fire Firebloom Burn