← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/27/2025
Water FractalTier 1
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/27/2025
decks
3
(7.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
10
5-4-1
overall winrate
55.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
50.3%
avg ELO +0.1 per match
expected value
52.6%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.2%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill · average
mean ELO 1362
· median 1392
· range 1299–1396
(3 pilots with an ELO rating)
1083
Q1 1234
Q3 1423
1624
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.3% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 49.8% | -0.4 |
| Fire Suzaku | 9.3% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Fire Exia | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 7.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.5% | +0.8 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Penguin Mill | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.4% | +2.2 |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.8% | +1.3 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.6 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.3% | -1.1 |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.0% | -1.7 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.0% | +1.6 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 3 from this event
The 3 public Water Fractal decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
