← Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/27/2025
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at Yeti Gaming Webcam Weekly 3/27/2025
Pilot Skill · average
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 9.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Exia | 7.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.1% | -1.5 |
| Water Fractal | 7.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.0% | -0.0 |
| Wind Allies | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.4% | +0.4 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 7.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 4.7% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.6% | -2.2 |
| Water Penguin Mill | 4.7% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 4.7% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.7% | +1.1 |
| Fire Astra Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.7 |
| Fire Ravishing Mill | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.2% | -1.3 |
| Fire Seiryuu | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 48.8% | -1.9 |
| Water Arcane | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Crux Mage | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 51.1% | +1.8 |
| Water Genbu | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Cleric | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Umbra Ranger | 2.3% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 49.5% | -0.7 |
| Wind Byakko | 2.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 50.0% | +0.0 |
| Wind Luxem Assassin | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Wakeup Combo | 2.3% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 4 from this event
The 4 public Fire Suzaku decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 1 mirror match, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 1 mirror is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
No card differed in at least 3 of the 1 mirror we have. The raw table below has the sparse signals that didn't clear the threshold — treat them as noise unless the sample grows.
Show all 41 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 41 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Resolute Stand | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Vermilion Decree | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veteran Blazebearer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Revelations | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Searing Truth | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Coiled Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Forest Cake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Fatestone of Unrelenting | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Pelagic Fatestone | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Heated Vengeance | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rococo, Explosive Maven | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Grand Crusader's Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Relic of Dancing Embers | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Smoke Out | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Expel the Departed | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Surging Bolt | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Ignite Fate | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Arthur, Young Heir | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Beastbond Boots | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Demolition | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Creative Shock | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Oppressive Presence | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Band of Burning Verdict | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Cremation Ritual | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Broken Promises | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Hasty Messenger | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Spark Alight | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Fated Keepsake | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Blinding Orb | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Blazing Throw | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Flamewreath Call | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Shatter the Brittle | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Clumsy Apprentice | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Quicksilver Grail | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Disenchant | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Dire Requiem | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tempered Steel | +1.00 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Impact Hammer | -1.00 | 0 | 1 | 0 |