← MAY 11 Store Championship @ YUGUCO
Fire Cinderbloom ComboTier 2
at MAY 11 Store Championship @ YUGUCO
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
7
0-7-0
overall winrate
0.0%
ELO-adjusted winrate
23.2%
avg ELO -13.5 per match
expected value
37.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
39.6%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1146
· median 1146
· range 1146–1146
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1050
Q1 1154
Q3 1422
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Aggro | 15.0% | 2 | 0-2-0 | 0.0% | 33.3% | 33.6% | -15.7 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.7 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.4% | -13.7 |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Water Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.7% | -13.3 |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 41.3% | -14.0 |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Cinderbloom Combo decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
