← MAY 11 Store Championship @ YUGUCO
Fire SuzakuTier 2
at MAY 11 Store Championship @ YUGUCO
decks
1
(5.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
6
2-3-1
overall winrate
41.7%
ELO-adjusted winrate
45.8%
avg ELO -2.2 per match
expected value
45.8%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
46.0%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↓ low
mean ELO 1050
· median 1050
· range 1050–1050
(1 pilot with an ELO rating)
1050
Q1 1154
Q3 1422
1532
0% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
100% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by lower-rated players — its raw winrate may understate how good it is.
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 39.3% | -17.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 15.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.1 |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 10.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 1 | 0-0-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 50.9% | +1.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 43.4% | -10.6 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.5% | +15.1 |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Mage | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 1 from this event
The 1 public Fire Suzaku decklist from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
