← MAY 11 Store Championship @ YUGUCO
Fire Luxem AssassinTier 1
at MAY 11 Store Championship @ YUGUCO
decks
2
(10.0% of field)
matches (non-mirror)
13
9-3-1
overall winrate
73.1%
ELO-adjusted winrate
55.3%
avg ELO +2.2 per match
expected value
56.1%
share-weighted (raw)
EV (ELO-adj)
50.5%
share-weighted (skill-controlled)
Pilot Skill ↑ top
mean ELO 1440
· median 1440
· range 1382–1498
(2 pilots with an ELO rating)
1050
Q1 1154
Q3 1422
1532
50% of pilots are in the field's top quartile,
0% in the bottom.
This deck is favored by stronger players — weight the headline winrates accordingly (the ELO-adjusted column already controls for this at the match level).
Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 20.0% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 42.5% | -7.2 |
| Fire Aggro | 15.0% | 3 | 2-1-0 | 66.7% | 57.1% | 53.3% | +2.5 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 10.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.0% | +8.6 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.0% | 3 | 1-1-1 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 46.1% | -2.9 |
| Fire Cinderbloom Combo | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Crux Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 59.9% | +15.8 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Suzaku | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Genbu | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Luxem Zander | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Ravishing Mill | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Allies | 5.0% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
| Wind Tera Mage | 5.0% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.6% | +5.7 |
