HVN Store Championship

Click an archetype for its head-to-head row vs every other deck. Mirror matches are excluded from winrates and EV. Sparse matchups are shrunk toward 50% via a Beta(2, 2) prior; draws count as 0.5. Adj WR is the same matchup record converted from per-match ELO deltas (skill-controlled). Faded winrate / EV figures come from a small sample (under 10 matches) — single-event numbers are noisy, so read them as rough.

#	Archetype		Tier	Decks	Share	W-L-D	Winrate	Adj WR	EV	Adj EV	Avg ELO	Skew
1		Water Fractal	Tier 1	8	19.5%	22-14-5	59.8%	57.6%	54.8%	53.8%	1304	—
2		Wind Allies	Tier 2	6	14.6%	7-16-4	33.3%	39.3%	42.7%	45.2%	1168	↓ low
3		Fire Aggro	Tier 1	2	4.9%	6-5-1	54.2%	51.2%	54.4%	54.3%	1226	—
4		Fire Crux Mage	Tier 1	2	4.9%	4-5-0	44.4%	37.4%	53.3%	48.0%	1286	—
5		Fire Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	2	4.9%	8-5-0	61.5%	52.1%	49.0%	45.9%	1403	↑ top
6		Fire Seiryuu	Tier 1	2	4.9%	4-5-1	45.0%	51.6%	52.7%	52.9%	1156	↓ low
7		Water Allies	Tier 2	2	4.9%	4-6-0	40.0%	49.2%	44.2%	46.3%	1204	↓ low
8		Water Genbu	Tier 1	2	4.9%	9-3-0	75.0%	69.3%	53.3%	54.1%	1390	↑ top
9		Wind Shadowstrike	Tier 2	2	4.9%	4-4-5	50.0%	53.4%	50.0%	51.0%	1349	↑ top
10		Fire Arcane	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-3-1	30.0%	45.5%	43.0%	45.3%	1069	↓ low
11		Fire Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-2-1	64.3%	46.3%	52.1%	46.5%	1362	↑ top
12		Fire Suzaku	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-0	60.0%	61.8%	47.8%	51.3%	1234	—
13		Fire Umbra Ranger	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-3-1	12.5%	38.4%	41.1%	44.7%	1054	↓ low
14		Slimes	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-2-2	50.0%	50.0%	44.4%	46.0%	1269	—
15		Water Shadowstrike	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-3-0	25.0%	47.7%	36.7%	43.3%	1141	↓ low
16		Water Umbra Diana	Tier 2	1	2.4%	1-5-0	16.7%	27.4%	42.5%	41.8%	1250	—
17		Wind Astra Cleric	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-2-2	50.0%	51.4%	50.0%	50.0%	1355	↑ top
18		Wind Diana	Tier 2	1	2.4%	0-3-0	0.0%	31.4%	40.0%	39.6%	1043	↓ low
19		Wind Exia	Tier 2	1	2.4%	5-1-0	83.3%	62.3%	70.0%	62.8%	1467	↑ top
20		Wind Luxem Assassin	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-0	60.0%	58.5%	52.2%	54.1%	1348	↑ top
21		Wind Luxem Zander	Tier 2	1	2.4%	3-2-1	58.3%	46.5%	46.7%	43.4%	1445	↑ top
22		Wind Ravishing Mill	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-4-0	33.3%	49.6%	50.5%	53.5%	1127	↓ low
23		Wind Razorgale	Tier 2	1	2.4%	2-1-2	60.0%	51.3%	52.1%	52.0%	1340	↑ top
24		Wind Slice & Dice	Tier 2	1	2.4%	4-3-0	57.1%	47.8%	52.0%	49.9%	1333	↑ top

Every player at this event, by final placement — at events with a top cut, cut finishers are ranked by bracket result, then the rest by Swiss standing. The W-L-D record is tallied from recorded matches; byes excluded.

The event's archetypes at a glance — click a tile for its head-to-head row and decklists.

• Water Fractal 8 decks · 19.5%
• Wind Allies 6 decks · 14.6%
• Fire Aggro 2 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Crux Mage 2 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Luxem Assassin 2 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Seiryuu 2 decks · 4.9%
• Water Allies 2 decks · 4.9%
• Water Genbu 2 decks · 4.9%
• Wind Shadowstrike 2 decks · 4.9%
• Fire Arcane 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Slimes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Suzaku 1 deck · 2.4%
• Fire Umbra Ranger 1 deck · 2.4%
• Slimes 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Shadowstrike 1 deck · 2.4%
• Water Umbra Diana 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Astra Cleric 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Diana 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Exia 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Luxem Assassin 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Luxem Zander 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Ravishing Mill 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Razorgale 1 deck · 2.4%
• Wind Slice & Dice 1 deck · 2.4%