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Wind AlliesTier 1
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Head-to-Head Matchups
Winrates vs every other archetype, sorted by the opponent's field share. Mirrors excluded. Shrunk WR uses a Beta(2, 2) prior so a 1-0 cell doesn't read as 100%; it feeds the EV calc above. Adj WR is the skill-controlled view: derived from per-match ELO deltas (0.5 + avg ELO Δ / K=32, same shrinkage), so it tells you what would have happened on equal-rating play. A faded Raw WR means under 10 matches — lean on the Shrunk WR column there.
| Opponent | Their share | Matches | W-L-D | Raw WR | Shrunk WR | Adj WR | ELO Δ/match |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Water Fractal | 12.3% | 4 | 2-2-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 47.7% | -1.5 |
| Water Genbu | 12.3% | 5 | 3-0-2 | 80.0% | 66.7% | 62.4% | +7.1 |
| Fire Suzaku | 10.5% | 4 | 4-0-0 | 100.0% | 75.0% | 66.3% | +10.5 |
| Wind Shadowstrike | 10.5% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Luxem Zander | 7.0% | 4 | 2-1-1 | 62.5% | 56.2% | 61.5% | +7.4 |
| Wind Seiryuu | 7.0% | 2 | 2-0-0 | 100.0% | 66.7% | 59.7% | +9.3 |
| Fire Arcane | 5.3% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 54.5% | +7.3 |
| Wind Astra Cleric | 3.5% | 2 | 1-1-0 | 50.0% | 50.0% | 48.8% | -1.1 |
| Fire Aggro | 1.8% | 1 | 0-1-0 | 0.0% | 40.0% | 44.6% | -8.7 |
| Fire Firebloom Burn | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Kongming | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Luxem Assassin | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Fire Seiryuu | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 53.8% | +6.2 |
| Fire Slimes | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Water Tera Kongming | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 55.9% | +9.4 |
| Wind Arcane | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Beast | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Cats | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Crux Lorraine | 1.8% | 1 | 1-0-0 | 100.0% | 60.0% | 62.0% | +19.2 |
| Wind Exia | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Lorraine | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Razorgale | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
| Wind Tera Tamer | 1.8% | 0 | — | — | — | — | — |
Decklists · 5 from this event
The 5 public Wind Allies decklists from this event, ordered by final placement — click a pilot for the full list.
Mirror Analysis
In 4 mirror matches, here are the card-count differences that most often separated the winning deck from the losing one. Staples (cards both decks run at the same count) are filtered out — only flex slots show up below. Cards whose count only differed in fewer than 3 mirrors are also held back as too sparse to call a pattern (still visible in the raw table further down). Small sample warning: 4 mirrors is borderline; treat these as suggestive, not conclusive.
Winners more often ran: Reclaim, Eternal Magistrate, Zephyr. Losers more often ran: Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa, Coronation Ceremony, Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster.
Show all 55 cards with non-zero signal (raw numbers, including 36 held back from the grid above)
| Card | Edge | In winner | In loser | Same | Direction |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Reclaim | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Eternal Magistrate | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zephyr | +0.50 | 3 | 1 | 0 | |
| Unbroken Mustang | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Staggering Strike | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Lurking Assailant | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Gildas, Chronicler of Aesa | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Coronation Ceremony | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 1 | |
| Windrider Vanguard | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Sun Ce, Weaponsmaster | -0.25 | 1 | 2 | 0 | |
| Smoke Bombs | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 2 | |
| Nullifying Lantern | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 3 | |
| Second Wind | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Brisk Windtrotter | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 1 | |
| Adept Swordmaster | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Hurricane Sweep | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Andronika, Eternal Herald | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Favorable Winds | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Verdigris Decree | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Lorraine, Blademaster | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Arrow Trap | -0.25 | 0 | 1 | 0 | |
| Tariff Ring | +0.25 | 2 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mystic Purifier | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Extortion Scheme | +0.25 | 1 | 0 | 0 | |
| Huaji of Heaven's Rise | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Dilu, Auspicious Charger | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Esteemed Knight | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Aesan Protector | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Perse, Relentless Raptor | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rose, Eternal Paragon | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Evasive Maneuvers | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Water Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Shimmercloak Assassin | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Viridian Protective Trinket | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Displace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Veiling Breeze | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Liu Bei, Oathkeeper | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Attune with the Winds | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Stifling Trap | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Shangxiang, Fierce Princess | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Zhang Fei, Spirited Steel | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Rallied Advance | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Razorgale Calling | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Mortal Ambition | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Windmill Engineer | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Parcenet, Royal Maid | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Wind Resonance Bauble | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Fairy Whispers | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Sadi, Blood Harvester | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Oath of the Sakura | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scatter Essence | +0.00 | 2 | 2 | 0 | |
| Censer of Restful Peace | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Innervate Agility | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 1 | |
| Blanche, Sheltering Saint | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 | |
| Scavenging Raccoon | +0.00 | 1 | 1 | 0 |